Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 37 | 7-18 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 33 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 36 | 11-19 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 36 | 8-20 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter