Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -1 (95-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 43 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 40 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 15-16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 11-22 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 27 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 43 | 10-23 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 42 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 22 | 3-13 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Thomas | 31 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 30 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter