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2024-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +18 (109-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 38 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 1 6 - -
Coby White * 38 5-15 1-5 7-9 4 3 1 2 18 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 37 8-19 1-7 0-0 10 4 0 0 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 7-14 3-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 17 - -
Alex Caruso * 30 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 3 3 1 10 - -
Andre Drummond 22 3-3 0-0 2-4 10 1 2 2 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 19 3-7 1-2 3-3 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Jevon Carter 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Terry Taylor 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 36 11-21 4-10 8-8 3 7 2 0 34 - -
Max Strus * 35 1-8 0-6 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 - -
Jarrett Allen * 34 4-5 0-0 2-2 14 3 2 1 10 - -
Dean Wade * 26 4-10 4-10 0-0 7 3 3 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro * 25 3-12 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
Caris LeVert 30 6-17 4-10 0-0 7 7 0 0 16 - -
Sam Merrill 20 5-7 4-6 1-1 3 2 2 0 15 - -
Georges Niang 18 3-11 3-9 0-0 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Tristan Thompson 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter