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2024-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -
Points Off/Def 62.8% 37.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 34 4-10 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 9 - -
Stephen Curry * 32 11-20 3-9 1-1 4 8 2 1 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 30 7-13 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 2 16 - -
Dario Saric * 23 3-6 3-5 4-4 7 3 0 1 13 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 4-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 29 9-18 1-5 1-1 11 0 0 0 20 - -
Brandin Podziemski 26 4-12 0-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 8 - -
Draymond Green 23 2-4 1-1 2-2 7 4 1 0 7 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Cory Joseph 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Lester Quinones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Williams Jr. * 37 6-11 3-6 9-10 7 4 2 1 24 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 33 4-20 3-14 7-8 5 5 4 1 18 - -
Luke Kennard * 31 2-9 2-7 5-5 2 5 1 0 11 - -
Xavier Tillman * 30 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 2 2 - -
Ziaire Williams * 19 1-6 1-5 1-4 3 0 1 0 4 - -
GG Jackson 29 6-9 5-8 6-8 6 1 2 2 23 - -
David Roddy 21 5-12 2-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 12 - -
Jacob Gilyard 19 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 3 2 1 11 - -
Santi Aldama 17 3-6 1-4 4-5 6 1 0 3 11 - -

* = starter