Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (109-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 38 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 27 | 12-18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 11-24 | 6-11 | 8-9 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 25 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter