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2024-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 84.1% 15.9% -
Bradley-Terry 77.9% 22.1% -
Margin 91.2% 8.8% -12.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -12 (117-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 37 7-17 1-6 1-2 6 4 1 2 16 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 9-18 2-7 4-7 7 6 0 3 24 - -
Kevin Knox II * 32 1-7 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Duren * 26 8-8 0-0 4-5 19 4 0 1 20 - -
Killian Hayes * 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 6 0 0 4 - -
Alec Burks 28 11-17 8-12 4-4 2 2 0 0 34 - -
Ausar Thompson 27 6-8 0-1 2-3 8 2 3 0 14 - -
James Wiseman 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 6 - -
Marcus Sasser 11 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 2 6 - -
Joe Harris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 33 7-21 3-9 4-4 8 4 3 2 21 - -
Jordan Poole * 31 6-14 2-7 2-2 0 2 0 0 16 - -
Tyus Jones * 31 9-19 4-10 0-0 6 7 1 0 22 - -
Deni Avdija * 27 4-8 1-2 3-4 2 4 0 2 12 - -
Daniel Gafford * 26 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 2 8 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 27 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Delon Wright 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 5 - -
Corey Kispert 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 13 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Landry Shamet 13 4-7 2-3 1-1 0 0 1 1 11 - -
Anthony Gill 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Johnny Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Hamidou Diallo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter