Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (125-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 32 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 29 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 26 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 9-12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 13-28 | 3-9 | 13-15 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 40 | 11-23 | 9-15 | 10-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter