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2024-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% -
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -11 (116-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 39 14-22 1-6 5-5 6 7 0 0 34 - -
Kevin Durant * 37 8-16 2-5 3-3 5 6 0 0 21 - -
Bradley Beal * 37 9-13 4-6 1-3 4 5 2 0 23 - -
Grayson Allen * 33 4-6 4-6 8-8 4 1 0 2 20 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 27 5-8 0-0 4-6 13 1 3 1 14 - -
Eric Gordon 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 - -
Chimezie Metu 17 3-3 1-1 1-2 3 0 1 2 8 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 13 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Drew Eubanks 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 40 8-18 6-12 6-7 5 5 0 0 28 - -
Scoot Henderson * 39 11-31 4-9 7-9 7 9 3 0 33 - -
Duop Reath * 38 7-15 2-6 1-1 6 1 2 1 17 - -
Jabari Walker * 28 4-6 2-3 1-2 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Toumani Camara * 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Kris Murray 37 5-9 3-6 0-1 1 3 3 0 13 - -
Justin Minaya 17 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -
Rayan Rupert 14 4-5 3-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 11 - -

* = starter