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2024-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 32.9% 67.1% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +1 (143-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 44 9-10 1-1 2-2 13 15 1 1 21 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 42 12-26 2-6 6-7 2 5 3 0 32 - -
Kevin Huerter * 38 10-14 6-9 0-0 10 3 1 0 26 - -
Harrison Barnes * 31 6-9 1-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 14 - -
Keegan Murray * 19 2-9 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Malik Monk 36 9-21 4-9 6-10 7 7 0 0 28 - -
Trey Lyles 33 3-8 3-7 0-0 7 2 0 0 9 - -
Alex Len 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 6 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 45 7-12 5-9 4-4 4 5 1 0 23 - -
Damian Lillard * 41 9-23 5-13 6-6 4 8 0 0 29 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 40 9-16 0-2 9-14 10 10 3 0 27 - -
Brook Lopez * 40 7-15 3-6 0-0 9 3 0 3 17 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 33 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 25 9-11 2-2 2-2 10 1 0 0 22 - -
AJ Green 17 1-5 1-4 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Cameron Payne 11 5-7 3-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 15 - -

* = starter