Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (104-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 34 | 8-23 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 9-24 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nathan Mensah | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Leaky Black | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 28 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 14 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 30 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter