Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 25 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 21 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 9-15 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 11-18 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter