Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (108-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins * | 36 | 11-19 | 6-12 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 26 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 40 | 12-27 | 5-14 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 39 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 27 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter