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2024-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 57.7% 42.3% -1.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 48.0% 52.0% -
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (129-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 35 7-23 6-17 1-1 3 3 0 0 21 4 -
Brandin Podziemski * 35 10-14 3-5 0-1 10 3 2 0 23 24 -
Dario Saric * 34 5-9 1-5 1-2 6 6 1 0 12 16 -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 3-13 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 -1 -
Kevon Looney * 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 1 6 10 -
Jonathan Kuminga 29 10-18 2-3 6-6 3 2 1 1 28 17 -
Cory Joseph 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 7 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 18 6-8 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 1 12 9 -
Lester Quinones 17 2-5 1-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 6 7 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 37 9-19 2-5 7-7 6 7 2 0 27 23 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 13-22 1-3 6-8 9 5 0 0 33 25 -
Brook Lopez * 33 5-9 1-5 0-0 8 6 0 2 11 18 -
Khris Middleton * 32 10-13 3-5 1-2 3 10 1 1 24 26 -
Malik Beasley * 28 4-8 3-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 11 10 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 27 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 10 15 -
Bobby Portis 21 4-11 2-4 0-0 8 0 0 0 10 7 -
Pat Connaughton 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 3 5 -
Chris Livingston 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter