Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✗ (39.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -28 (99-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 27 | 10-20 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 25 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 18 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 17 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jules Bernard | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 6-19 | 2-10 | 7-9 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 26 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 23 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Lundy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter