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2024-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 14.9% 85.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.3% 80.7% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +32 (145-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Smith Jr. * 27 4-11 0-4 1-1 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 3-8 0-1 6-6 1 0 1 0 12 - -
Alperen Sengun * 24 8-17 0-2 3-3 10 3 4 0 19 - -
Fred VanVleet * 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 7 0 1 5 - -
Jalen Green * 20 3-9 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Cam Whitmore 27 7-13 2-7 6-8 7 0 1 1 22 - -
Amen Thompson 24 3-10 0-0 4-4 10 3 3 0 10 - -
Jeff Green 14 3-5 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Jock Landale 12 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Nate Williams 9 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 8 2-6 0-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 - -
Boban Marjanovic 6 1-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 29 9-17 4-7 5-7 8 5 1 1 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 28 11-15 4-6 6-10 6 2 2 2 32 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 28 6-11 3-5 2-2 7 5 1 3 17 - -
Jrue Holiday * 26 4-10 1-4 2-2 6 3 0 0 11 - -
Derrick White * 25 5-9 3-5 0-0 3 5 2 0 13 - -
Payton Pritchard 22 7-10 3-6 2-2 4 3 0 0 19 - -
Al Horford 20 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 7 - -
Sam Hauser 20 2-9 2-8 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 9 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 9 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter