Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +36 (135-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 28 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 26 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 15-16 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nathan Mensah | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Leaky Black | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 19 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 18 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 13 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 11 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter