Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (125-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson * | 35 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 27 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| E.J. Liddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 24 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter