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2024-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -9 (131-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 35 8-24 6-15 5-5 5 9 1 0 27 - -
Klay Thompson * 33 9-19 7-15 5-6 6 6 1 1 30 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 30 8-13 1-5 0-0 5 8 1 1 17 - -
Dario Saric * 28 4-6 2-3 2-4 7 6 2 0 12 - -
Kevon Looney * 26 4-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 9 - -
Brandin Podziemski 27 2-8 0-4 1-1 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 24 9-12 4-4 2-3 5 1 1 0 24 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 17 4-5 0-0 5-7 7 2 1 1 13 - -
Cory Joseph 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Jerome Robinson 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 15-21 2-5 7-8 7 5 0 0 39 - -
Coby White * 37 9-13 5-7 2-3 4 7 0 0 25 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 9-15 4-8 3-3 8 7 0 1 25 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 6-12 2-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Alex Caruso * 29 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 6 - -
Patrick Williams 28 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 7 1 0 9 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Andre Drummond 12 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Dalen Terry 7 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter