Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 42 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 39 | 9-25 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 15 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Knox II * | 35 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 28 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 29 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter