Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -18 (108-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 21 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 21 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 20 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kendall Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 31 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 13-18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 30 | 4-17 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 24 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Seth Lundy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter