Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (46.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +62 (139-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoot Henderson * | 31 | 4-21 | 1-9 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 20 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 23 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 21 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 21 | 11-15 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 20 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 18 | 9-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 22 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keyontae Johnson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 17 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter