Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✗ (26.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -22 (108-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 21 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 14 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mamadi Diakite | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 30 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 23 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 19 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter