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2024-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 (24.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% -
Log Adjusted 81.5% 18.5% -
Points Off/Def 70.4% 29.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -25 (98-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 31 11-18 3-7 0-0 6 3 0 1 25 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 28 8-14 3-7 0-2 1 3 1 1 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 27 9-13 1-2 5-6 10 7 0 1 24 - -
Harrison Barnes * 22 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Huerter * 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malik Monk 29 6-13 1-5 7-7 4 4 0 2 20 - -
Trey Lyles 21 2-4 2-4 2-4 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 16 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Alex Len 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 8 - -
Colby Jones 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Duarte 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Keon Ellis 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 - -
JaVale McGee 4 2-5 0-0 4-4 7 0 0 0 8 - -
Davion Mitchell 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 33 10-21 4-8 0-0 7 6 1 0 24 - -
Terry Rozier * 31 6-14 3-6 7-8 4 2 1 1 22 - -
Brandon Miller * 27 5-10 4-6 1-2 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Nick Richards * 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 9 3 0 1 8 - -
Bryce McGowens * 10 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 25 4-15 2-8 1-2 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Nathan Mensah 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 - -
JT Thor 20 1-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
James Bouknight 19 3-8 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Ish Smith 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Leaky Black 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter