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2024-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 55.8% 44.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.1% 74.9% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +1 (132-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 40 11-20 3-7 1-2 3 6 0 2 26 - -
RJ Barrett * 35 10-13 1-3 2-3 10 5 2 0 23 - -
Pascal Siakam * 32 10-17 3-5 2-3 4 3 0 1 25 - -
Thaddeus Young * 28 5-9 0-1 0-0 5 4 3 1 10 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 26 8-14 4-6 1-3 5 5 0 0 21 - -
Dennis Schroder 29 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 6 0 0 10 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 5-10 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Chris Boucher 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 - -
Jontay Porter 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 13-17 2-2 13-14 11 6 0 1 41 - -
LeBron James * 35 8-17 2-5 4-6 5 12 1 1 22 - -
Taurean Prince * 33 4-8 2-6 1-2 4 0 2 0 11 - -
Austin Reaves * 31 3-10 1-6 4-4 3 7 1 0 11 - -
Cam Reddish * 22 4-7 4-6 1-2 1 0 1 1 13 - -
Christian Wood 23 5-10 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 1 14 - -
Max Christie 18 2-2 1-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 - -
D'Angelo Russell 16 4-8 2-6 1-2 1 5 0 0 11 - -

* = starter