Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.1% | 44.9% | -1.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -17 (103-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 39 | 11-27 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 23 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 21 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 27 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 26 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 40 | 11-25 | 2-7 | 9-10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 9-21 | 2-8 | 11-15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter