Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✗ (29.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -21 (110-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 16-21 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 42 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 34 | 13-17 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 25 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Alex Len | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-9 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 10-14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 23 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| James Wiseman | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 20 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Joe Harris | 8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter