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2024-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: LA Clippers +27 (138-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 34 10-17 3-6 7-8 7 2 0 1 30 - -
Bradley Beal * 34 7-15 0-2 1-2 3 2 2 0 15 - -
Devin Booker * 34 8-14 2-6 2-2 0 5 0 0 20 - -
Grayson Allen * 30 1-3 1-3 5-5 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 21 3-8 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Eric Gordon 24 3-8 2-7 4-4 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Josh Okogie 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 4 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 4 - -
Jordan Goodwin 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 5 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Saben Lee 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 32 8-15 1-3 0-0 3 2 5 1 17 - -
Paul George * 31 10-19 4-9 1-2 7 0 1 0 25 - -
James Harden * 29 6-8 3-4 4-4 7 10 0 0 19 - -
Terance Mann * 27 5-9 3-6 1-2 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Ivica Zubac * 27 8-9 0-0 3-6 8 3 1 1 19 - -
Norman Powell 24 4-6 2-3 4-4 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Amir Coffey 23 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Daniel Theis 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 1 6 - -
Russell Westbrook 14 3-6 0-1 3-3 2 7 2 0 9 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Kobe Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Mason Plumlee 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 - -

* = starter