Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.9% | 2.1% | -21.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -8 (128-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-17 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 11-14 | 4-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 37 | 10-24 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 29 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter