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2024-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 76.1% 23.9% -6.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (133-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 17-26 3-4 3-5 5 2 0 0 40 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 37 6-13 1-4 6-7 5 7 0 3 19 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 9-16 3-6 0-0 6 6 1 0 21 - -
Derrick White * 35 4-16 2-8 3-3 4 6 0 2 13 - -
Al Horford * 32 4-5 3-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 5-6 4-5 0-0 7 3 0 0 14 - -
Oshae Brissett 15 1-4 1-4 3-6 6 0 2 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 10 1-4 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 2 5 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalano Banton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 34 7-13 1-3 1-2 8 1 0 0 16 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 26 6-10 3-5 2-3 4 2 0 1 17 - -
Jalen Smith * 26 3-8 1-4 4-4 9 1 0 3 11 - -
Bruce Brown * 20 1-6 1-1 4-4 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 13 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 6 0 0 7 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 29 8-15 5-9 5-7 4 3 2 0 26 - -
Buddy Hield 24 6-11 3-7 0-0 4 3 1 1 15 - -
T.J. McConnell 24 6-12 0-2 0-0 4 7 2 0 12 - -
Obi Toppin 19 4-5 3-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 13 - -
Andrew Nembhard 12 4-6 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 9 - -
Isaiah Jackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 - -

* = starter