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2024-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% - ✗
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 ✗ (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - ✗
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Warriors -15 (118-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 13-20 5-8 6-8 6 6 1 0 37 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 7-11 2-3 0-0 6 6 0 2 16 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 6-8 0-0 2-5 11 5 0 0 14 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 26 4-10 1-4 0-0 5 10 1 0 9 - -
Scottie Barnes * 23 3-11 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 1 6 - -
Dennis Schroder 27 6-10 1-3 0-1 3 4 0 0 13 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 6-11 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 1 14 - -
Chris Boucher 16 7-7 3-3 0-0 9 1 1 1 17 - -
Jontay Porter 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Jalen McDaniels 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 29 2-14 0-9 5-5 1 6 0 0 9 - -
Klay Thompson * 28 10-15 5-7 0-0 0 3 0 0 25 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 26 8-9 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 3 16 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 24 5-13 1-5 2-2 4 4 1 1 13 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 16 1-6 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Brandin Podziemski 28 2-11 1-8 0-0 8 4 0 0 5 - -
Moses Moody 21 7-9 4-6 3-3 3 1 1 0 21 - -
Dario Saric 18 4-10 2-5 1-1 5 4 2 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Cory Joseph 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jerome Robinson 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Lester Quinones 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter