Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (131-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Livers * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 19 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 14-24 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 23 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter