Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (115-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 36 | 14-27 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 27 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 26 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 13 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 14-27 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 12-26 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter