Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (39.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -33 (100-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 27 | 11-16 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 27 | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 22 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 29 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 24 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| E.J. Liddell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 28 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 24 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 20 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 12 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Colby Jones | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Alex Len | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter