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2024-01-07

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 20.2% 79.8% +7.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -
Points Off/Def 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (117-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 35 9-19 4-9 0-0 2 2 3 0 22 - -
Tre Jones * 34 7-8 2-2 2-2 2 5 2 0 18 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 27 4-9 2-5 1-1 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 24 6-13 2-5 10-11 10 3 1 5 24 - -
Julian Champagnie * 15 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Keldon Johnson 32 6-16 3-6 3-4 4 2 1 0 18 - -
Dominick Barlow 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman 20 4-7 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Malaki Branham 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Blake Wesley 11 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 37 3-11 2-9 0-0 5 4 2 0 8 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 36 7-18 1-10 2-4 2 9 1 0 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 11-19 0-0 7-7 16 2 1 1 29 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 - -
Dean Wade * 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Caris LeVert 26 9-13 4-5 1-3 2 3 2 0 23 - -
Georges Niang 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Sam Merrill 22 5-11 5-9 3-3 3 3 0 0 18 - -
Tristan Thompson 16 3-4 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter