Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 5-16 | 1-8 | 7-10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 38 | 16-25 | 1-2 | 15-21 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 48 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 40 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 7-21 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - |
* = starter