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2024-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 76.1% 23.9% -6.4 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -17 (101-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 37 14-23 8-13 2-4 13 6 1 0 38 - -
Jrue Holiday * 36 3-9 1-5 1-2 6 5 1 0 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 35 13-20 1-4 4-8 4 1 0 1 31 - -
Derrick White * 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 7 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 - -
Al Horford 29 4-8 2-5 0-2 7 8 1 2 10 - -
Oshae Brissett 19 3-9 1-3 1-1 8 0 0 1 8 - -
Sam Hauser 16 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Luke Kornet 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 5-17 2-9 5-5 6 7 5 0 17 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 31 3-13 0-7 2-2 4 0 3 1 8 - -
Buddy Hield * 30 6-16 3-10 0-0 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Myles Turner * 29 5-11 0-5 2-4 7 2 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Smith * 25 2-6 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 7 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 35 7-14 0-3 6-9 4 2 2 1 20 - -
Obi Toppin 23 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 6 - -
Isaiah Jackson 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Ben Sheppard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jarace Walker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Kendall Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Oscar Tshiebwe 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter