Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (135-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 37 | 6-17 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 31 | 7-11 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 27 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 34 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 31 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 15 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter