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2024-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (113-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 39 9-16 8-14 3-4 2 5 1 0 29 - -
Desmond Bane * 37 8-14 5-8 3-4 5 13 1 0 24 - -
Ja Morant * 34 7-17 3-7 4-5 7 7 1 1 21 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 31 3-3 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 11-14 5-6 4-4 9 1 0 3 31 - -
Ziaire Williams 20 6-11 2-6 1-1 1 1 1 0 15 - -
Luke Kennard 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 5 1 2 0 1 - -
Santi Aldama 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
David Roddy 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 40 8-14 0-3 3-4 7 12 2 0 19 - -
Anthony Davis * 40 13-22 0-3 5-7 6 4 0 2 31 - -
LeBron James * 38 11-24 4-9 6-10 5 7 5 0 32 - -
Taurean Prince * 34 3-9 3-7 1-2 2 2 2 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish * 32 3-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Max Christie 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 - -
Christian Wood 16 3-5 1-2 4-4 5 0 1 0 11 - -

* = starter