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2024-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 22.0% 78.0% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 35 5-19 2-8 0-0 5 3 2 0 12 - -
Cade Cunningham * 35 13-22 1-7 3-3 5 3 0 1 30 - -
Jalen Duren * 32 6-6 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 2 13 - -
Jaden Ivey * 23 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 1 12 - -
Isaiah Livers * 21 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Kevin Knox II 23 7-13 4-8 0-0 1 3 1 2 18 - -
Alec Burks 21 5-14 3-10 0-0 4 2 0 1 13 - -
James Wiseman 15 1-5 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 2 4 - -
Killian Hayes 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 5 2 0 0 - -
Ausar Thompson 8 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 - -
Marcus Sasser 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Kuminga * 35 4-8 0-1 3-3 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Klay Thompson * 34 6-18 3-9 4-4 3 4 1 2 19 - -
Stephen Curry * 30 7-19 4-12 8-9 6 4 1 1 26 - -
Chris Paul * 23 3-5 2-4 0-1 6 4 0 1 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Brandin Podziemski 24 4-7 2-2 1-3 5 5 1 0 11 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 22 5-5 0-0 1-1 9 0 0 1 11 - -
Dario Saric 22 6-10 3-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Andrew Wiggins 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Cory Joseph 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Moses Moody 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter