Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -2 (120-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 40 | 8-21 | 1-4 | 15-19 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 37 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 9-15 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 31 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 9-23 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 17 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter