Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (33.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +36 (139-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoot Henderson * | 33 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 23 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 22 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 23 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Hardy * | 32 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 25 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 20 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter