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2024-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 56.7% 43.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 (29.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.9% 34.1% -
Log Adjusted 65.9% 34.1% -
Points Off/Def 55.8% 44.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -27 (95-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 32 6-7 0-0 1-3 12 1 2 2 13 - -
Anthony Edwards * 32 8-17 2-5 6-6 3 5 2 0 24 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 31 8-17 1-4 5-5 8 6 0 1 22 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 7-10 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 16 - -
Mike Conley * 25 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 8 - -
Naz Reid 24 6-11 3-6 1-2 7 2 0 1 16 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 17 4-6 2-4 1-2 3 3 2 2 11 - -
Kyle Anderson 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 5 3 0 2 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Luka Garza 3 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Josh Minott 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alperen Sengun * 33 8-17 0-1 3-3 5 1 0 0 19 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 32 6-13 3-5 1-2 9 2 0 0 16 - -
Jalen Green * 30 7-16 4-8 2-4 5 2 0 0 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 30 2-9 2-5 1-1 1 8 1 1 7 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Jeff Green 20 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Amen Thompson 19 2-9 0-2 2-3 6 1 3 0 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Cam Whitmore 14 4-10 1-4 2-2 2 0 2 0 11 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 7 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Jock Landale 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Boban Marjanovic 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter