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2024-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Log Adjusted 17.3% 82.7% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +24 (114-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 26 6-10 4-6 0-0 1 5 2 0 16 - -
Deni Avdija * 25 5-8 0-1 3-4 5 4 2 1 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 25 4-14 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Jordan Poole * 23 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 36 6-13 2-4 1-3 7 1 1 3 15 - -
Corey Kispert 20 6-12 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 13 - -
Mike Muscala 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 - -
Delon Wright 16 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 5 0 7 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 6 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Johnny Davis 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Butler 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 - -
Anthony Gill 5 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 30 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 9 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 5-7 0-0 2-2 12 3 2 1 12 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 25 8-15 5-8 5-8 2 4 1 0 26 - -
Isaac Okoro * 21 2-5 0-0 4-6 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Dean Wade * 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Caris LeVert 27 3-7 1-2 4-4 4 11 2 0 11 - -
Sam Merrill 26 4-12 3-9 0-0 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Georges Niang 24 5-9 4-8 0-0 9 1 0 0 14 - -
Tristan Thompson 16 4-5 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 11 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 4 1 0 7 - -
Damian Jones 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter