Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (30.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +34 (150-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 13-19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 28 | 4-18 | 1-11 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 23 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Seth Lundy | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 22 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 22 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 22 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 22 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 17 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 16 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter