Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (127-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 13-16 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 11-23 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 28 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter