Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 39 | 19-28 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 44 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 15 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 28 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 17 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 14-21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 10-18 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 29 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter