Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +3 (138-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 45 | 13-25 | 6-9 | 11-14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 43 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 39 | 8-18 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 38 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 30 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 21 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 45 | 13-21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 45 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 43 | 6-22 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 46 | 12-20 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter