Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (96-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 39 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 28 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 27 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 29 | 5-14 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Cole Swider | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 42 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 43 | - | |
| LeBron James * | 38 | 6-18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 25 | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Max Christie | 28 | 5-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 24 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Jalen Hood-Schifino | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter