Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +29 (126-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoot Henderson * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 27 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 23 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 22 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 17 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 30 | 13-21 | 4-7 | 11-14 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter