Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -5 (111-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 39 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 8-18 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 36 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 18 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter